Day — of — — left until final scoring on Nov 26 New York — UTC — —
The experiment has ended. Final results are below.
This is a simulation, not investment advice. No real money is involved. It is a 30-day experiment in which an AI model makes trading and betting decisions using real-world prices, to see how its judgment holds up. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or bet on anything. This is an independent project, not affiliated with any brokerage, sportsbook or AI company. Final results for all five will be posted on Nov 26, win or lose.
Five separate paper-trading experiments, each run and scored on its own on Nov 26, 2026. Each one started with its own — (US$100,000 for Chinese stocks) and is judged only against that starting amount; the results are never added together. Last updated —.
The big figure is total net profit since the start. "Last 24 hours" compares with the check-in closest to 24 hours earlier, or the start if a simulation is newer. "Worst drop" is the biggest fall from a high point, measured at check-ins. Stocks are compared with putting the same — into the S&P 500, crypto and metals with putting it into Bitcoin, and Chinese stocks with the CSI 300 index. Positive means the portfolio is ahead. The Chinese stocks simulation is counted in US dollars.
The next events that could move these simulations. Times are Eastern.
| When | Event | Affects | Why it matters |
|---|
Pick a simulation. Move your cursor along the chart (or drag a finger on a phone) to see the exact value at each check-in.
Every rule tied to a price, closest first. When a price reaches its level, the AI makes that trade at the next update.
Profit or loss on each position and settled bet since it was opened, in Canadian dollars. Cash and USDC are left out.
Every trade, bet and hold decision across all four, newest first. Times are Eastern.
| When | Portfolio | Action | Detail |
|---|
SOXL, TQQQ and Bitcoin, plus cash. Started at the Oct 26 close.
What the same — would be worth if it had gone into each index at the Oct 26 close and stayed there. The S&P 500 is converted to Canadian dollars; the TSX is already in them. Index levels, without dividends.
The grey dashed line is the same C$100,000 left in the S&P 500. Hover or drag along the chart for exact values.
This portfolio's price rules, closest first.
Pick a holding to see its price (US dollars) at each check-in since it was bought. The dotted line is the price paid; dashed lines are the prices that would trigger a trade. Hover for exact prices.
Profit or loss on each position since it was bought, in Canadian dollars.
Events ahead that could move this simulation. Times are Eastern.
| When | Event | Why it matters |
|---|
Prices in US dollars; values in Canadian dollars at the latest exchange rate.
| Holding | Quantity | Entry (US$) | Now (US$) | Change | Value (C$) | Price source |
|---|
| Rule |
|---|
| When | Action | Detail |
|---|
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP and a USDC reserve. Started Oct 27 at 2 a.m.
The grey dashed line is the same C$100,000 left in Bitcoin. Hover or drag along the chart for exact values.
This portfolio's price rules, closest first.
Pick a holding to see its price (US dollars) at each check-in since it was bought. The dotted line is the price paid; dashed lines are the prices that would trigger a trade. Hover for exact prices.
Profit or loss on each position since it was bought, in Canadian dollars.
Events ahead that could move this simulation. Times are Eastern.
| When | Event | Why it matters |
|---|
Prices in US dollars; values in Canadian dollars at the latest exchange rate.
| Holding | Quantity | Entry (US$) | Now (US$) | Change | Value (C$) | Price source |
|---|
| Rule |
|---|
| When | Action | Detail |
|---|
Gold and silver at spot prices, plus cash. Started Oct 27 at 7:30 p.m.
The grey dashed line is the same C$100,000 left in Bitcoin. Hover or drag along the chart for exact values.
This portfolio's price rules, closest first.
Pick a holding to see its price (US dollars) at each check-in since it was bought. The dotted line is the price paid; dashed lines are the prices that would trigger a trade. Hover for exact prices.
Profit or loss on each position since it was bought, in Canadian dollars.
Events ahead that could move this simulation. Times are Eastern.
| When | Event | Why it matters |
|---|
Prices in US dollars per troy ounce; values in Canadian dollars at the latest exchange rate.
| Holding | Ounces | Entry (US$) | Now (US$) | Change | Value (C$) | Price source |
|---|
| Rule |
|---|
| When | Action | Detail |
|---|
Bankroll counts settled bets only. Started Oct 27 at 4:54 p.m. On open bets: —.
The bankroll only moves when a bet settles. Hover or drag along the chart for exact values.
Events ahead that could move this simulation. Times are Eastern.
| When | Event | Why it matters |
|---|
Each settled bet's result in Canadian dollars, with the running total underneath.
| Sport | Bets | Won | Lost | Open | Profit (C$) | Return on stakes |
|---|
American odds. Stakes and results in Canadian dollars. Closing odds are the last price before the game started; getting a better price than the close is the quickest sign of real skill, long before wins and losses settle it.
| Bet | Placed | Game | Pick | Odds | Stake (C$) | To win (C$) | Status | Result (C$) | Closing odds | Beat the close? |
|---|
| Rule |
|---|
| When | Action | Detail |
|---|
Shares and funds listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, bought in yuan and counted in US dollars. Started Oct 28, 11:20 a.m. Beijing time (Oct 27, 11:20 p.m. ET) with US$100,000.
In US dollars. The grey dashed line is the same US$100,000 put into the CSI 300 index (China's 300 largest companies). Hover or drag along the chart for exact values.
This portfolio's price rules, closest first. Prices in yuan (¥).
Pick a holding to see its price in yuan at each check-in since it was bought. The dotted line is the price paid; dashed lines are the prices that would trigger a trade.
Profit or loss on each position since it was bought, in US dollars. Cash is left out.
Events ahead that could move this simulation. Times are Eastern.
| When | Event | Why it matters |
|---|
Prices in yuan (¥); values in US dollars at the latest exchange rate.
| Holding | Shares | Entry (¥) | Now (¥) | Change | Value (US$) | Price source |
|---|
| Rule |
|---|
| When | Action | Detail |
|---|
The full record of how the AI is doing in each experiment: total profit or loss since the start for each one, plus every day's result and write-up. Each day closes at midnight UTC (8 p.m. Eastern until Nov 1, then 7 p.m.). For every day: what each simulation made or lost, and the AI's own write-up of how it did. Each simulation is its own experiment with its own C$100,000 (US$100,000 for China), so nothing here is added together.
"Each day" shows what was made or lost that day; "Running total" shows the total since the start at the end of each day. Pick an experiment; each one is shown on its own. Green is up, red is down. Hover or tap a bar for the exact amount.
Newest first. Each experiment gets its own result, its total since the start and a write-up for the day, with general notes on the day underneath. Open "Decisions this day" for every trade, bet and note logged that day.
This page tracks a 30-day paper-trading experiment, Oct 26 to Nov 26, 2026. An AI model was given — of pretend money in each of four simulations, plus US$100,000 for a fifth in Chinese stocks added on Oct 28, and asked to manage it as it saw fit. The page owner checks in through the month, and the AI looks up current prices and news, decides whether to trade, and records each decision and its reasoning here.
Data last refreshed —. The sources used for prices, odds and news are listed below.